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15:52
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Austin Bay Blog
I will be moderating a panel at the Blog World Expo in Las Vegas at 12:15 pm Saturday, September 20th. (Las Vegas Convention Center. Go here for the conference schedule.)
The panel is titled “The Blogosphere in Transition.”
Panelists include Pam Spaulding (pamspaulding.com), Bridget Magnus (BridgetMangnus.com), Roger L. Simon (Pajamasmedia.com and rogerlsimon.com) and Rob Neppell (NZ Bear [...]
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23:35
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Austin Bay Blog
This via AP:
Poland and the United States reached an agreement Thursday to base American missile interceptors in Poland, the prime minister said, going ahead with a plan that has angered Russia and threatened to escalate tensions with the region’s communist-era master.
Speaking in an interview televised on news channel TVN24, Prime Minister Donald Tusk said the [...]
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0:59
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Austin Bay Blog
Follow my blog posts and this week’s newspaper column and it’s clear that I’m looking at the diplomatic mid-term and long-term for resolution of the Russo-Georgia War.
However, this morning I had “one of those conversations” about US and Western European military options—in the gym. Hey, these chats are occurring in defense ministries, in State Departments, [...]
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15:36
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Austin Bay Blog
Via StrategyPage. This week’s column.
Also see this StrategyPage update on the GSSOP (Georgia Sustainment and Stability Operations Program).
UPDATE: Hat tip Instapundit. A comprehensive post from CharlesCrawford.biz which concludes with this thought:
Does the objective correlation of forces favour those leaders who in a pre-modern way have a clear sense of what they want - and are [...]
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23:54
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Austin Bay Blog
As I write this post news reports claim Russian troops have halted their main attack just short of Tbilisi, Georgia’s capital. Perhaps Russian memories of the battle for the city of Grozny, Chechnya, play a role. In late 1994 the Russians attempted to drive Chechen rebels from Grozny, and failed miserably. The city fight became [...]
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23:25
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Austin Bay Blog
The inimitable Michael Barone reviews the “convergence media” presentation of my interview with General David Petraeus. I appreciate the generous words.
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23:29
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Austin Bay Blog
NOTE: I will eventually turn this post into a column. I have been intending to review Nichols’ book since March. I got to read Winkler’s book in galley and got a copy in the mail ten days ago.
Two books published this year admirably reflect history renewed and history pending, Jonathan Reed Winkler’s Nexus: Strategic Communications [...]
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3:51
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Austin Bay Blog
Consider the looming diplomatic argument. If protecting Kosovar Albanians elicits a NATO invasion, as it did in 1999, and in the case of South Ossetia Russian peacekeepers operating under international aegis were already on the ground and involved in the Georgia-South Ossetia conflict (which they were), what is the gripe?
After Kosovo’s unilateral declaration of [...]
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5:27
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Austin Bay Blog
Quick note: TheArenaUSA’s convergence media program featuring the entire interview with GEN Petraeus went on-line a short time ago. The response to the various Arena “beta” programs has been gratifying and thank you– the Korea backgrounder and the Over The Horizon: The Evolving Food Crisis seem to have been particularly well received. Thank you. [...]
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5:09
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Austin Bay Blog
I know this post comes a bit late. It’s old news by now: Turkey’s Constitutional Court did not ban the Justice and Development Party (AKP), it fined the AKP. The “judicial coup” did not occur. The AKP was accused of undermining Turkey’s secularist institutions.
While working on an update for StrategyPage I read through a [...]
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4:35
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Austin Bay Blog
I do not think there is any question that at this moment in time General David Petraeus is one of America’s most widely respected leaders –in or out of uniform.
I had the privilege of speaking with the soldier-scholar at length this past Monday, August 4. Both my ArenaUSA channel and PajamasMedia will be [...]
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4:04
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Austin Bay Blog
Read this book:Challenges of the Muslim World, Present, Future, and Past” (Elsevier, 2008). by William Cooper and Piyu Yue.
The book is not a political polemic — it is penetrating and very useful scholarship.
I reviewed it last week in my Creator’s Syndicate column (via StrategyPage).
And pay attention to the graphs and figures.
The authors have the communicator’s [...]
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3:25
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Austin Bay Blog
If you’ve been checking out the Austin Bay Arena Channel, you know that we are adding new content and material every week. This week we are premiering our feature, “Over the Horizon” and my first “OTH” addresses food politics, the rising cost of food, and the “global food crisis.”
There are several developing problems [...]
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15:53
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Austin Bay Blog
Martha Raddatz of ABC News reports that US commanders in Iraq believe US troops should remain to insure security.
Key quote:
We spent a day with Maj. Gen. Jeffery Hammond in Sadr City. He is the commander of the 4th Infantry Division, which is responsible for Baghdad. Hammond will likely be one of the commanders who briefs [...]
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16:03
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Austin Bay Blog
Bloomberg reports on the Zimbabwean dictators upcoming moves on Parliament.
This claim by the Zimbabwe Solidarity Forum (ZSF) (via Monsters and Critics) is interesting.
The ZSF’s claim:
The Zimbabwean military, and not President Robert Mugabe, is now running the troubled country, the South Africa-based Zimbabwe Solidarity Forum (ZSF) said Thursday.
ZSF spokesman Sipho Theys told a news conference [...]
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23:02
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Austin Bay Blog
The US won’t rule out the possibility.
Reuters:
The United States on Wednesday condemned the attack on its consulate in Istanbul and a State Department spokesman said he could neither confirm nor rule out al Qaeda involvement.
The Houston Chronicle reported:
Suspected al-Qaida militants armed with pistols and shotguns attacked a police guard post outside the U.S. consulate in [...]
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17:48
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Austin Bay Blog
I will be on Hugh Hewitt’s national radio program today discussing “Scenario 8,” which is the “Strategic Overwatch” scenario in ArenaUSA’s “Update” video. (Click “Guest Login” and have immediate access to the majority of the programs inside.) If the Hugh Hewitt show is not carried on the radio in your area, you can listen online [...]
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1:03
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Austin Bay Blog
Iraq the Model has been in the front lines of free speech in the Middle East.
See this post for an update on Itaq the Model’s role in supporting Arabic-language bloggers.
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1:20
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Austin Bay Blog
The heat generated by this 5-4 Supreme Court decision has not subsided. Fox News reports there is no “imminent decision” by President Bush to close the Guantanamo Bay prison. ABC News points out both Obama and McCain favor closing the prison.
In the first edition of BEYOND THE AGENDA I interview law professors Lino Graglia (con) [...]
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20:02
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Austin Bay Blog
The Hard Thing of Democracy
A Vietnam vet friend of mine argues that maintaining a democracy requires three things: a passion for freedom, tolerance for diversity and intolerance for threats.
An [...]
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19:55
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Austin Bay Blog
Via StrategyPage.
What’s the synergy crisis? It is a soundbite for a complex, long-term problem involving bureaucratic turf battles and lack of focused leadership that costs America lives, time and money. America has trouble synchronizing its “tools of national power” — synergizing its diplomatic, information, military and economic power to achieve a policy goal, like winning [...]
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16:22
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Austin Bay Blog
They are just misunderstood, or victims of imperialism, or antagonized by Bush, the appeaseniks argue. Negotiations, Barack Obama proclaims. Pursue negotiations.
From today’s New York Times, dateline Peshawar:
The bodies of 28 members of a government-sponsored peace committee were found dumped on a road near the tribal area of South Waziristan on Wednesday, Pakistan officials said. The [...]
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22:13
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Austin Bay Blog
According to CNN SPecial Investigations?
Check it out.
“Pretty tough and ruthless…Does it fit in with the rhetoric now? Perhaps not.”
“Political tactics of the machine…then calls himself progressive.”
Sheesh. A strong investigative piece? Yes. But late. May 29. Everyone in Chicago, it appears, knew this about Obama, but we had to hear for five months that he was [...]
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21:29
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Austin Bay Blog
A friend of mine in the US Army Reserve is currently deployed at Fort Hunter-Liggett, which is just south of California’s Big Sur area. There is a forest fire in the Los Padres National Forest adjacent to the fort, and the Reservists have become firefighters. Here’s part of a recent email:
I was up on the [...]
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21:18
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Austin Bay Blog
Looks like terror works.
Morgan Tsvangirai has dropped out of the run-off election — he fears for his life.
AFP from Harare:
Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai quit Zimbabwe’s run-off election Sunday, saying violence had made a fair vote impossible, in a move that virtually hands victory to President Robert Mugabe.
“We in the MDC cannot ask them to cast [...]
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21:02
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Austin Bay Blog
It’s an attempt to optimize the capabilities of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs).
Thom Shanker’s article in the NY Times begins a different angle– mission friction among the armed services–and it is that as well:
Ever since the Army lost its warplanes to a newly independent Air Force after World War II, soldiers have depended on the sister [...]
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20:46
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Austin Bay Blog
RealClearPolitics posts this week’s Creators Syndicate column, which addresses the upcoming Zimbabwean election (June 27) and dictator Robert Mugabe’s depredations.
I’ve followed Zimbabwe’s political situation since the 1970s, my interest sparked for many reasons but the Anglican Church being one major reason.
Here are a string of columns (not a complete list):
2002
2005 (I repeat the Milosevic [...]
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0:37
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Austin Bay Blog
I just heard on tv that the House of Represenatives is about to pass the war supplemental bill — and this AP report says the House is on the verge. There will be no date for withdrawal. Where is John Murtha? Where is Harry Reid’s defeat, dude? Ah yes, the voices of the cut and [...]
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16:08
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Austin Bay Blog
Pajamasmedia has an article of mine covering the cluster munitions treaty.
ArenaUSA also has an addition to the Consequences pilot episode, this one postulating an outcome based on conditions in Iraq March-May 2008 — a bit more aggressive than the original.
UPDATE: Please register at the Arena Channel, if you have not already done so. You [...]
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0:48
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Austin Bay Blog
This is a very important article — a mainstream and liberal journal has noticed Al Qaeda’s information warfare loss and examined the roots of this defeat. The information loss is becoming a physical loss as well. The roots go deep — as StrategyPage noted way back on October 27, 2005 (see the previous link).
The article [...]
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15:58
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Austin Bay Blog
It seems a vast stretch of the commentariat either misses or dismisses the fact Iraq’s democratic government has been in power only two years. There does seem to be a reasonable argument over the date Prime Minister Nouri- al-Maliki formed his cabinet. May 16, 2006, or was it May 20, 2006, when the parliament approved [...]
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19:40
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Austin Bay Blog
We just discovered there is a “comments” problem — and the webmaster is looking into it.
UPDATE: Yes, it’s been fixed. We hope.